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What is a shot in the dark?

What is a shot in the dark? Here are some definitions.

Noun
  1. (idiomatic) A guess, attempt, or choice made with little or no evidence or knowledge.
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Examples
She knew it was a shot in the dark, and Nic probably figured that the conversation was heading that way.
Here again, you should gather as much information as possible instead of taking a shot in the dark.
My guess is neither Thomas or Kingman could hit junkballs, total shot in the dark there.
Granted, this is all a bit of a shot in the dark, but there is a third possibility.
I know this is a shot in the dark, but, why don't you go out with him?
But, I'd bet everyone here at Pro Football Weekly and any self-respecting football writer at any other worthy publication hopefully knows predictions are a shot in the dark.

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