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What is a shot in the dark?

What is a shot in the dark? Here are some definitions.

Noun
  1. (idiomatic) A guess, attempt, or choice made with little or no evidence or knowledge.
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Granted, this is all a bit of a shot in the dark, but there is a third possibility.
Here again, you should gather as much information as possible instead of taking a shot in the dark.
But, I'd bet everyone here at Pro Football Weekly and any self-respecting football writer at any other worthy publication hopefully knows predictions are a shot in the dark.
It is a shot in the dark, but nothing ventured, nothing gained.
I'll whisper this in case it is too much of a shot in the dark but I believe West Indies will win at least one Test in England.
Even if you are truly ambitious, it's a mistake to apply for jobs which are too much of a shot in the dark.

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