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What is a prediction?

What is a prediction? Here are some definitions.

Noun
  1. A statement of what will happen in the future.
  2. A probability estimation based on statistical methods.
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Examples
Our prediction, however, was based on a test statistic for additive effects only.
While ab initio prediction is clearly the most difficult, it is arguably the most useful approach.
I make this prediction based on what we know about biology, which is that natures abhors uniformity.
I sure wish I could agree with your prediction but America has been gerrymandered into easily predictable red or blue districts.
The basic claim is that all problems can be rephrased as prediction problems.
This is a worrisome development for those of us who are enthusiastic about prediction markets.

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